Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics

● quote 69 min ago

Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $640.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $233.9KEvent: Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics

56.5¢

YES

43.5¢

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 48%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:25 trades$67.2K tracked12% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 81%

tape 105 min agoofficial metadata 72 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$33.3K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$33.3K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDetroit Tigers (YES)$32.0K@ 56¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$10

+$12.4K

tracked

$67.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$33.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 48% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Executable quote is 69 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 105 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 72 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

active

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-08 01:40 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Athletics, scheduled for July 31 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Detroit Tigers@ 56.0¢6h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Athletics@ 45.0¢6h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$10

6h+$12.4K

24h+$12.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current56.5¢

VWAP 24h56.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp

VWAP 7d56.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢