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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $148.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $139.1KEvent: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly34Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:23 trades$22.8K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 51s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSentinels (NO)$22.4K@ 45¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$15
6h
−$22.4K
tracked
$22.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$22.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -65.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 05:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and Sentinels in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win Map 2 against Sentinels. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Map 2 against 100 Thieves. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $45.3K gross
0x3471…f17e2 linked markets · $1.5K gross
0x82dc…57002 linked markets · $1.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Sentinels@ 66.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -48.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $235 → $717 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$15
6h−$22.4K
24h−$22.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h55.3¢▲ above by 44.7pp
VWAP 7d55.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$9
90¢
$128
85¢
$0
80¢
$33
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$2
60¢
$60
55¢
$22.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$44
35¢
$5
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYSentinels (NO)$22.4K@ 45.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega
90.0¢$227.0Kpriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner
0.1¢$221.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGSentinels$22.4K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.