LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner

● quote 83 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $120.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $278.7KEvent: LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier

50.5¢

YES

49.5¢

17.0¢

Spread

anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection86Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution72Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:35 trades$16.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 94%

tape 91 min agoofficial metadata 83 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$12.0K@ 35¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

YES pressure: +$12.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

+$12.8K

tracked

$16.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$12.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

17.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 64% · priority 61

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Executable quote is 83 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 91 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 83 minutes old.
•Spread is 17.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-07-28 14:30 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between DN SOOPers and HANJIN BRION in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 28 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 2 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 2 against DN SOOPers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x4713…4d212 linked markets · $2.0K gross

0xfc92…56672 linked markets · $731 gross

0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $546 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $2 → $4 · 5s

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$12.8K

6h+$12.8K

24h+$12.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current50.5¢

VWAP 24h35.6¢▲ above by 14.9pp

VWAP 7d35.6¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

$23

65¢

60¢