PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $250.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $229.2KEvent: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians
46.5¢
YES
53.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly59Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets51Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:41 trades$46.1K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$22.7K·3 wallets(2🐋)·$44.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks (YES)$33.6K@ 39¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$596
6h
+$34.7K
tracked
$46.1K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$22.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +14.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 14.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-08 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 1 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 33.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -17.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $431 → $45.8K · 21s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$596
6h+$34.7K
24h+$23.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h39.0¢▲ above by 7.5pp
VWAP 7d39.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$11
40¢
$11.3K
35¢
$33.7K
30¢
$34
25¢
$0
20¢
$206
15¢
$713
10¢
$101
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYArizona Diamondbacks (YES)$33.6K@ 39.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians (NO)$10.9K@ 59.0¢
dv-pm0x56ac…d77e
🐋—about 13 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
41.5¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
86.5¢$760.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
57.5¢$515.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
100.0¢$384.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha
100.0¢$373.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
13.5¢$360.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
5.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles
74.5¢$299.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Arizona Diamondbacks$33.6K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
dv-pmCleveland Guardians$10.9K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.