LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner

● quote 89 min ago
SportsCloses: less than a minuteLiquidity: $916.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly10Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:209 trades$57.6K trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 104 min agoofficial metadata 80 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming (YES)$13.1K@ 56¢·0xd202…8973

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$163
6h
+$32.1K
tracked
$57.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$9.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 89 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 104 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 80 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-06 16:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 2 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 2 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 7h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd202…89732 linked markets · $26.2K gross
0xcae6…4f853 linked markets · $14.6K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $10.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $101$15 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$163
6h+$32.1K
24h+$45.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h48.0¢▼ below by 47.9pp
VWAP 7d48.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.2K
75¢
$2.6K
70¢
$6.9K
65¢
$207
60¢
$13.8K
55¢
$16.4K
50¢
$1.3K
45¢
$26
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$8
20¢
$435
15¢
$495
10¢
$600
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$12.7K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYInvictus Gaming (YES)$13.1K@ 56.0¢0xd202…8973🐋about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xd202…8973Invictus Gaming$13.1K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.