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UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

Sports→Settlement: Islam MakhachevLiquidity: $1.9MOfficial 24h Vol: $4.8MEvent: UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
100.0¢
Islam Makhachev payout
0.0¢
Ian Machado Garry payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Islam Makhachev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-16 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Islam Makhachev" if Islam Makhachev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Ian Machado Garry" if Ian Machado Garry is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Islam Makhachev" if Islam Makhachev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Ian Machado Garry" if Ian Machado Garry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 37d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Ian Machado Garry@ 17.0¢37d ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Islam Makhachev@ 74.0¢37d ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Islam Makhachev@ 74.0¢37d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Islam Makhachev@ 74.0¢37d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Islam Makhachev; negative values favor Ian Machado Garry. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIan Machado Garry · $668.6K
6hIslam Makhachev · $70.3K
24hIslam Makhachev · $649.5K

Islam Makhachev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Islam Makhachev price. Ian Machado Garry fills are converted to the complementary Islam Makhachev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h82.3¢▲ above by 17.7pp
VWAP 7d81.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLIslam Makhachev$11.8K@ 99.9¢
LudoGar0xcfed…9980
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$172.1K@ 99.9¢
TennisLove0x2f44…93c2
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$19.1K@ 99.9¢0x4948…c785🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$11.6K@ 99.9¢0x9cb7…5d90🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$20.6K@ 99.9¢
Mekhididdy0xa0ae…a2e0
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$17.8K@ 99.9¢
Vladooos0x8002…8b6c
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$12.6K@ 99.9¢0x0f34…7684🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$351.5K@ 99.9¢
maxdip0xecff…38a9
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$10.1K@ 99.9¢
digitalnomad850x300b…f636
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$15.0K@ 99.9¢
Zenhack0xff80…9b4d
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$32.1K@ 99.9¢
LarryDaddy0xca97…49f6
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$10.1K@ 95.0¢
waduh0x4795…0fb0
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$14.6K@ 74.0¢
LarryDaddy0xca97…49f6
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$11.1K@ 74.0¢
JESUSCHRISTISGOD0x160d…5295
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$59.2K@ 74.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIan Machado Garry$20.0K@ 27.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$74.0K@ 74.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$12.7K@ 74.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$26.1K@ 74.0¢
DegenKingBetter0xb56d…d621
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$260.3K@ 74.0¢
maxdip0xecff…38a9
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$11.3K@ 74.0¢
TheTennis0x1756…4ff8
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$16.0K@ 74.0¢
niccojfc0xd4b0…5760
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$11.1K@ 74.0¢
C63AMG0xb31e…c120
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$111.6K@ 74.0¢
askilika0x0979…8d9b
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$10.0K@ 74.0¢
Mekhididdy0xa0ae…a2e0
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$10.9K@ 74.0¢
Maximumusil0x91fe…cfd7
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$13.2K@ 74.0¢
Vladooos0x8002…8b6c
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIan Machado Garry$34.1K@ 26.0¢
Winnnnnnning0x533c…2658
🐋—about 1 month ago
SELLIslam Makhachev$13.2K@ 73.0¢0xe907…cff6🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$31.2K@ 74.0¢0xe907…cff6🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$12.9K@ 75.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$14.8K@ 75.0¢
elrah0x81a6…b93b
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$14.3K@ 75.0¢0x0f34…7684🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$10.6K@ 75.0¢
elrah0x81a6…b93b
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIan Machado Garry$17.6K@ 25.0¢
sleepy-panda0xa49b…4c40
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$27.3K@ 77.0¢
TennisLove0x2f44…93c2
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$55.0K@ 77.0¢0x77da…024a🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$55.1K@ 77.0¢0x77da…024a🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIan Machado Garry$29.1K@ 24.1¢0xb3f0…5c25🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$10.0K@ 77.0¢
elrah0x81a6…b93b
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$211.4K@ 76.0¢
noway80x2f3c…6c2c
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$78.6K@ 77.0¢
noway80x2f3c…6c2c
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIan Machado Garry$24.3K@ 25.0¢
Winnnnnnning0x533c…2658
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$31.5K@ 77.0¢
TennisLove0x2f44…93c2
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$73.5K@ 76.9¢
TennisLove0x2f44…93c2
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$19.9K@ 76.0¢
Winnnnnnning0x533c…2658
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$12.8K@ 76.0¢0x5022…9b18🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$33.0K@ 76.0¢
SupermanJoe0x9561…d255
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIan Machado Garry$14.8K@ 25.0¢0x3b6d…f95b🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIslam Makhachev$20.6K@ 75.0¢0xdb75…0252🐋—about 2 months ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.