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Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao

Sports→Settlement: Shintaro MochizukiLiquidity: $541.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $362.4KEvent: Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao
100.0¢
Shintaro Mochizuki payout
0.0¢
Linang Xiao payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:110 trades$92.5K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Shintaro Mochizuki · $5.9K net·10 wallets·$57.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYShintaro Mochizuki$5.9K@ 65¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Shintaro Mochizuki. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-29 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Linang Xiao in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Linang Xiao. This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Linang Xiao DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $1.8K → $557 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Shintaro Mochizuki; negative values favor Linang Xiao. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hShintaro Mochizuki · $5.0K
6hShintaro Mochizuki · $4.6K
24hShintaro Mochizuki · $4.6K

Shintaro Mochizuki price VWAP

Volume-weighted Shintaro Mochizuki price. Linang Xiao fills are converted to the complementary Shintaro Mochizuki probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h68.9¢▲ above by 31.1pp
VWAP 7d68.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Shintaro Mochizuki price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.3K
90¢
$6.2K
85¢
$3.4K
80¢
$7.5K
75¢
$6.9K
70¢
$15.7K
65¢
$26.1K
60¢
$8.6K
55¢
$9.2K
50¢
$3.4K
45¢
$4.0K
40¢
$184
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cShintaro Mochizuki$16.8K
BUY VWAP 64.7¢·10 fills
ferrariChampions2026Shintaro Mochizuki$12.9K
BUY VWAP 67.5¢·6 fills
0x1610…ae49Linang Xiao$10.9K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.