PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 2 daysLiquidity: $93.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $80.0KEvent: UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
49.5¢
YES
50.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$33.6K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 221 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTresean Gore (NO)$10.5K@ 50¢·Winnnnnnning

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$7.6K
tracked
$33.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$3.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 221 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-16 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tresean Gore at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Tresean Gore" if Tresean Gore is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$7.6K
24h−$9.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h49.3¢▲ above by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d49.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$13.5K
45¢
← now
$23.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLTresean Gore (NO)$10.5K@ 50.0¢
Winnnnnnning0x533c…2658
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A
0.1¢$1.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢$670.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
100.0¢$632.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
100.0¢$597.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$557.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
48.5¢$546.7Kpriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WinnnnnnningTresean Gore$15.5K
BUY VWAP 51.4¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.