LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

● quote 20 min ago
SportsCloses: 6 minutesLiquidity: $537.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $859.1KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly32Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:145 trades$45.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 20 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $17.6K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$17.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGen.G (NO)$16.3K@ 65¢·SineNooneEI

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$440
6h
−$29.1K
tracked
$45.7K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$17.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +32.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 20 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 33 minutes old.
  • Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-07 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 7 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 2 against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 2 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SineNooneEI2 linked markets · $29.7K gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $19.2K gross
0x04b1…d2242 linked markets · $5.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Gen.G3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Gen.G@ 68.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $28$313 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$440
6h$29.1K
24h$29.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h23.9¢▼ below by 23.8pp
VWAP 7d23.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$19.4K
30¢
$8.0K
25¢
$1.2K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$925
5¢
$13.2K
0¢
← now
$2.7K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYGen.G (NO)$16.3K@ 65.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SineNooneEIGen.G$16.3K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.