LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner

● quote 20 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $674.8KEvent: LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly26Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:237 trades$73.5K trackedsource coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 47 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$9.8K·3 wallets·$9.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNongshim Red Force (YES)$28.8K@ 71¢·0x9e3e…f882

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$565
6h
+$31.7K
tracked
$73.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$9.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 20 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 47 minutes old.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-08 17:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 8 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 2 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 2 against Nongshim Red Force. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $28.9K gross
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $26.8K gross
0xe907…cff64 linked markets · $6.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $3.6K$3.6K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$565
6h+$31.7K
24h+$31.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h48.4¢▼ below by 48.4pp
VWAP 7d48.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$28.8K
65¢
$2.3K
60¢
$4.6K
55¢
$150
50¢
$1.2K
45¢
$3.6K
40¢
$4.0K
35¢
$2.4K
30¢
$11.7K
25¢
$3.8K
20¢
$1.6K
15¢
$1.0K
10¢
$4.1K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$4.4K

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYNongshim Red Force (YES)$28.8K@ 70.6¢0x9e3e…f882🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x9e3e…f882Nongshim Red Force$28.8K
BUY VWAP 70.5¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.