LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 30 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $660.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $582.3KEvent: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

100.0¢

YES

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection27Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:158 trades$157.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 46 min agoofficial metadata 30 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBilibili Gaming (YES)$33.3K@ 100¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE

What the tape says

NO pressure: −$42.9K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

−$42.9K

+$8.6K

tracked

$157.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$499 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +19.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 30 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 46 minutes old.
•Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

proposed

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-08 17:45 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 8 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 2 against EDward Gaming. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 2 against Bilibili Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

retroactivesource3 linked markets · $53.5K gross

0x3954…22d92 linked markets · $36.7K gross

0xcae6…4f852 linked markets · $23.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Bilibili Gaming1h ago

Outcome checks pending

LARGE FLOWBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 81.0¢2h ago

15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: NO UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $153 → $103 · 1s

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$42.9K

6h+$8.6K

24h+$8.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current100.0¢

VWAP 24h92.6¢▲ above by 7.4pp

VWAP 7d92.6¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$88.1K

90¢

$8.5K

85¢

$1.2K

80¢

$42.7K