LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

● quote 89 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $126.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $229.9KEvent: LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
72.5¢
YES
27.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection80Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%
24h sample:28 trades$30.2K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 98 min agoofficial metadata 91 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam WE (NO)$16.0K@ 40¢·Zywoo123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$24.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$24.2K
6h
−$24.2K
tracked
$30.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 53

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 89 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 98 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 91 minutes old.
  • Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-09 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 9 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 2 against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 2 against JD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $8.8K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $5.4K gross
0x01e6…e7e02 linked markets · $1.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $4.0K$1.3K · 1s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$24.2K
6h$24.2K
24h$24.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current72.5¢
VWAP 24h58.5¢▲ above by 14.0pp
VWAP 7d58.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$0
65¢
$1.4K
60¢
$16.0K
55¢
$12.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTeam WE (NO)$16.0K@ 40.0¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam WE (NO)$10.8K@ 44.4¢0x4c3d…3735🐋about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
76.5¢$507.7Kpriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
100.0¢$1.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
47.5¢$755.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$750.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢$617.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$613.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Zywoo123Team WE$16.0K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
0x4c3d…3735Team WE$10.8K
BUY VWAP 44.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.