LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

● quote 36 min ago
SportsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $127.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $507.7KEvent: LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
87.5¢
YES
12.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets69Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:114 trades$19.3K trackedsource coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 45 min agoofficial metadata 38 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $1.1K·3 wallets·$1.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam WE (NO)$4.0K@ 39¢·0xa4fd…748b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$3.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.4K
6h
−$2.6K
tracked
$19.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$1.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 63

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 36 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 45 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 38 minutes old.
  • Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-09 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 9 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $8.8K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $5.4K gross
0x01e6…e7e02 linked markets · $1.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $7$1.1K · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$3.4K
6h$2.6K
24h$2.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current87.5¢
VWAP 24h67.2¢▲ above by 20.4pp
VWAP 7d67.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$1.2K
80¢
$4.5K
75¢
$636
70¢
$5
65¢
$0
60¢
$9.9K
55¢
$2.3K
50¢
$276
45¢
$385
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
56.5¢$229.9Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
100.0¢$1.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
47.5¢$755.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$750.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢$617.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$613.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.