LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

● quote 45 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $141.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $675.1KEvent: LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 68%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:268 trades$80.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 47 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$15.9K·5 wallets·$18.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster (NO)$14.6K@ 50¢·0xa759…1119

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$16.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$16.0K
6h
+$16.0K
tracked
$80.7K

5 verified profitable wallets: +$15.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 68% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 45 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 54 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 47 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-09 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 2 against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 2 against Dplus KIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x076d…8d4c3 linked markets · $14.0K gross
0xd3bc…5bd22 linked markets · $11.0K gross
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $4.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $6.3K$5.3K · 1s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$16.0K
6h+$16.0K
24h+$16.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.8¢▲ above by 40.2pp
VWAP 7d59.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$480
90¢
$6.4K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$8.5K
65¢
$13.9K
60¢
$0
55¢
$4.3K
50¢
$28.4K
45¢
$6.8K
40¢
$6.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$11.3K@ 51.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYKT Rolster (NO)$14.6K@ 50.0¢0xa759…1119🐋about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xa759…1119KT Rolster$14.6K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cDplus KIA$14.0K
BUY VWAP 69.2¢·8 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaDplus KIA$11.3K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.