LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner

● quote 11 min ago

Sports→Closes: 41 minutesLiquidity: $413.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $607.1KEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

99.9¢

YES

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly12Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:136 trades$85.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $157·3 wallets·$157 gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming (YES)$49.0K@ 79¢·retroactivesource

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$316

+$72.8K

tracked

$85.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$157 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -80.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 11 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 48 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

proposed

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-09 11:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and LNG Esports in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for August 9 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 2 against LNG Esports. This market will resolve to "LNG Esports" if LNG Esports win Game 2 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x9e3e…f8824 linked markets · $5.8K gross

0xf030…12e22 linked markets · $4.0K gross

0xcae6…4f852 linked markets · $2.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming2h ago

Outcome checks pending

ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming2h ago

Outcome checks pending

LARGE FLOWBUY Invictus Gaming@ 80.0¢2h ago

15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY Invictus Gaming@ 80.0¢2h ago

15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: NO DOWN 8.5pp · near-book depth $16 → $1.1K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$316

6h+$72.8K

24h+$72.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current99.9¢

VWAP 24h80.9¢▲ above by 19.0pp

VWAP 7d80.9¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$3.9K

90¢

$8.3K

85¢

$350

80¢

$1.5K