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Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury

Sports→Settlement: Portland FireLiquidity: $185.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $269.9KEvent: Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury
100.0¢
Portland Fire payout
0.0¢
Phoenix Mercury payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPortland Fire$17.5K@ 35¢·huli3882

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Portland Fire. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-16 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Portland Fire win, the market will resolve to "Portland Fire".

•If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 16 at 7:00PM ET: If the Portland Fire win, the market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Portland Fire; negative values favor Phoenix Mercury. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhoenix Mercury · $24.4K
6hPhoenix Mercury · $1.5K
24hPhoenix Mercury · $1.5K

Portland Fire price VWAP

Volume-weighted Portland Fire price. Phoenix Mercury fills are converted to the complementary Portland Fire probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h56.0¢▲ above by 44.0pp
VWAP 7d56.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Portland Fire price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$19.6K
90¢
$6.1K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$2.5K
65¢
$26
60¢
$3.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$8.1K
40¢
$102
35¢
$28.8K
30¢
$9.6K
25¢
$3.9K
20¢
$2.7K
15¢
$1.4K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPortland Fire$10.5K@ 99.9¢
Nootpengu0xb035…ff78
🐋—7 days ago
BUYPortland Fire$17.5K@ 35.0¢
huli38820x1d2e…896d
🐋—7 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.