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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 27 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $768.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:274 trades$405.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 33 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJD Gaming (NO)$19.8K@ 99¢·0xb041…5b72

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$60.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$60.5K
6h
+$103.7K
tracked
$405.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$8.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +61.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 27 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 33 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 17:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win Game 1 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against Anyone's Legend. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xcae6…4f852 linked markets · $41.5K gross
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $39.9K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $26.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY JD Gaming@ 39.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Anyones Legend@ 62.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $37 → $65 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$60.5K
6h+$103.7K
24h+$105.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h29.3¢▼ below by 29.3pp
VWAP 7d29.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$8.6K
60¢
$84.8K
55¢
$51.9K
50¢
$22.3K
45¢
$461
40¢
$1.9K
35¢
$3.0K
30¢
$68
25¢
$44.0K
20¢
$5.7K
15¢
$1.6K
10¢
$4.5K
5¢
$24.0K
0¢
← now
$184.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLJD Gaming (NO)$25.2K@ 99.9¢0xa103…1c14🐋—25 minutes ago
SELLJD Gaming (NO)$10.9K@ 99.9¢0x84fb…675e🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLJD Gaming (NO)$11.1K@ 99.9¢0x3eb3…4d75🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJD Gaming (NO)$19.8K@ 98.9¢0xb041…5b72🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnyones Legend (YES)$10.7K@ 64.0¢0x24be…ad1a🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAnyones Legend (YES)$10.8K@ 55.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xb041…5b72JD Gaming$19.8K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·1 fill
0xcae6…4f85JD Gaming$18.2K
BUY VWAP 89.5¢·11 fills
0xf201…527eAnyones Legend$12.5K
BUY VWAP 48.4¢·2 fills
0x24be…ad1aAnyones Legend$10.7K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
0xf030…12e2JD Gaming$10.2K
BUY VWAP 60.9¢·6 fills
five5120Anyones Legend$10.0K
BUY VWAP 64.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.