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Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $80.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $155.2KEvent: Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
25.5¢
YES
74.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:53 trades$57.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$174·2 wallets·$174 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSt. Louis Cardinals (NO)$12.2K@ 61¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW YES SETUP
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$1.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.8K
6h
−$15.6K
tracked
$57.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$174 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 58

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-16 18:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 9 at 2:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x5e94…5ba12 linked markets · $51.0K gross
0x3dfb…abaf3 linked markets · $37.5K gross
0x5268…135d2 linked markets · $26.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 13.5pp · near-book depth $0 → $189 · 15s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$1.8K
6h−$15.6K
24h−$15.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current25.5¢
VWAP 24h38.7¢▼ below by 13.2pp
VWAP 7d38.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$3.7K
40¢
$18.6K
35¢
$26.2K
30¢
$6.5K
25¢
← now
$207
20¢
$2.0K
15¢
$115
10¢
$0
5¢
$2
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYSt. Louis Cardinals (NO)$12.2K@ 61.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafSt. Louis Cardinals$12.2K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
0x5268…135dSt. Louis Cardinals$10.1K
BUY VWAP 61.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.