Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)

● quote just now
SportsCloses: 11 minutesLiquidity: $89.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $81.2KEvent: Broncos vs. Chiefs
63.5¢
Chiefs
36.5¢
Broncos
9.0¢
Spread
anomaly100direction41wallets33execution91priority62data 78%💡 1 smart
24h sample:25 trades$43.2K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 58s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChiefs$10.2K@ 51¢·Feromont

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Chiefs pressure: $17.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$17.6K
6h
+$40.2K
tracked
$43.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Chiefs · $165 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
9.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 78% · priority 62

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Spread is 9.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chiefs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if the Chiefs win the game by 2 or more points.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Broncos". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Broncos".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 14 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if the Chiefs win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Broncos". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Broncos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $461.8K gross
mooseborzoi5 linked markets · $134.0K gross
BrotherObama2 linked markets · $74.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hChiefs · $17.6K
6hChiefs · $40.2K
24hChiefs · $43.2K

Chiefs price VWAP

Current63.5¢
VWAP 24h51.1¢▲ above by 12.4pp
VWAP 7d51.1¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Chiefs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$43.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYChiefs$10.2K@ 51.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋15 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SunlineTickerChiefs$14.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·6 fills
mooseborzoiChiefs$11.6K
BUY VWAP 51.4¢·11 fills
FeromontChiefs$10.2K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.