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National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Geopolitics→Settlement: Thiago Agustin TiranteLiquidity: $402.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $454.9KEvent: National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
0.0¢
Alexei Popyrin payout
100.0¢
Thiago Agustin Tirante payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexei Popyrin$11.2K@ 56¢·AV23IUa

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Thiago Agustin Tirante. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-13 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexei Popyrin' if Alexei Popyrin advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Alexei Popyrin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 17d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexei Popyrin; negative values favor Thiago Agustin Tirante. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Agustin Tirante · $2.7K
6hAlexei Popyrin · $10.2K
24hAlexei Popyrin · $10.2K

Alexei Popyrin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexei Popyrin price. Thiago Agustin Tirante fills are converted to the complementary Alexei Popyrin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h32.9¢▼ below by 32.9pp
VWAP 7d32.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexei Popyrin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$11.6K
50¢
$4.4K
45¢
$23
40¢
$3.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$88
25¢
$32
20¢
$26
15¢
$0
10¢
$6.9K
5¢
$5.5K
0¢
← now
$3.4K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexei Popyrin$11.2K@ 56.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—18 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.