LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

● quote 12 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $595.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $726.6KEvent: LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection28Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:217 trades$293.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 45 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$8.0K·5 wallets(1🐋)·$31.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKiwoom DRX (YES)$30.1K@ 100¢·0x24be…ad1a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$81.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$81.3K
6h
+$74
tracked
$293.9K

5 verified profitable wallets: +$8.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 12 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 45 minutes old.
  • Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-13 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x04b1…d2242 linked markets · $46.4K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $36.4K gross
0x1660…55983 linked markets · $29.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 12.0pp · near-book depth $100$473 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$81.3K
6h+$74
24h+$74

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h78.3¢▲ above by 21.7pp
VWAP 7d78.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$131.9K
90¢
$18.8K
85¢
$3.8K
80¢
$2.7K
75¢
$7.1K
70¢
$37.6K
65¢
$24.5K
60¢
$1.1K
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$3.5K
45¢
$1.2K
40¢
$16.0K
35¢
$44.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLKiwoom DRX (YES)$14.3K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLKiwoom DRX (YES)$30.1K@ 99.9¢0x24be…ad1a🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLKiwoom DRX (YES)$11.5K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYKiwoom DRX (YES)$11.3K@ 95.0¢0x24be…ad1a🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBNK FEARX (NO)$10.5K@ 28.0¢0xf23c…9f81🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x04b1…d224Kiwoom DRX$14.0K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·4 fills
0x24be…ad1aKiwoom DRX$13.9K
BUY VWAP 88.5¢·2 fills
five5120Kiwoom DRX$10.0K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.