LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

● quote 47 min ago
SportsCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $505.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $472.8KEvent: LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets19Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:149 trades$220.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 53 min agoofficial metadata 48 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $7.4K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$39.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBNK FEARX (NO)$13.9K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$43.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$43.0K
6h
−$45.1K
tracked
$220.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$7.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 47 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 53 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 48 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-13 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 2 against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 2 against Kiwoom DRX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x04b1…d2243 linked markets · $57.0K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $36.4K gross
0xcf60…a6f53 linked markets · $32.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY BNK FEARX@ 98.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $9.9K$3.1K · 7s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$43.0K
6h$45.1K
24h$45.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h14.6¢▼ below by 14.5pp
VWAP 7d14.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$12.6K
40¢
$28.7K
35¢
$7.5K
30¢
$16.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$3.0K
10¢
$4.5K
5¢
$23.2K
0¢
← now
$124.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLBNK FEARX (NO)$12.0K@ 99.9¢0xcf60…a6f5🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBNK FEARX (NO)$13.9K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYBNK FEARX (NO)$11.0K@ 99.7¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x04b1…d224BNK FEARX$30.6K
BUY VWAP 93.9¢·6 fills
Sisyphus.BNK FEARX$12.6K
BUY VWAP 98.6¢·2 fills
5e46hBNK FEARX$11.0K
BUY VWAP 99.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.