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LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

● quote 6 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $661.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection24Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets51Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:485 trades$412.1K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $27.8K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$54.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGen.G (YES)$31.4K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$99.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$99.7K
6h
−$124.7K
tracked
$412.1K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$27.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +52.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 6 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-13 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 13 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x04b1…d2242 linked markets · $40.3K gross
0x10ef…7d7b3 linked markets · $38.4K gross
0x1660…55983 linked markets · $35.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Gen.G@ 48.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Hanwha Life Esports@ 47.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $275 → $242 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$99.7K
6h−$124.7K
24h−$124.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h66.1¢▲ above by 33.8pp
VWAP 7d66.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$127.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$5.4K
75¢
$7.3K
70¢
$4.8K
65¢
$6.5K
60¢
$20.4K
55¢
$32.8K
50¢
$92.5K
45¢
$38.7K
40¢
$36.7K
35¢
$25.0K
30¢
$13.0K
25¢
$307
20¢
$624
15¢
$592
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLGen.G (YES)$31.4K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G (YES)$13.2K@ 99.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xec98…afcdHanwha Life Esports$14.9K
BUY VWAP 55.4¢·9 fills
5e46hGen.G$13.2K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
0x1660…5598Hanwha Life Esports$12.5K
BUY VWAP 44.4¢·3 fills
0xdaef…54e9Hanwha Life Esports$11.3K
BUY VWAP 45.6¢·3 fills
0x3471…f17eHanwha Life Esports$11.1K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·8 fills
0x3471…f17eGen.G$10.2K
BUY VWAP 54.8¢·7 fills
0xec98…afcdGen.G$10.0K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.