LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

● quote 13 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $431.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

100.0¢

YES

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets1Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:280 trades$429.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 15 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$765·3 wallets(1🐋)·$52.7K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGen.G (YES)$40.3K@ 100¢·0xe16e…bd58

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

NO pressure: −$49.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

−$49.0K

+$18.6K

tracked

$429.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$765 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 13 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
•Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-13 17:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 13 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 2 against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 2 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

5e46h2 linked markets · $93.5K gross

0x10ef…7d7b3 linked markets · $45.7K gross

0xe16e…bd582 linked markets · $45.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Latest book event: NO UP 8.2pp · near-book depth $64 → $568 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$49.0K

6h+$18.6K

24h+$18.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current100.0¢

VWAP 24h78.1¢▲ above by 21.9pp

VWAP 7d78.1¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$192.9K

90¢

$45.2K

85¢

$2.2K

80¢

$2.1K