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UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sports→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $340.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $974.9KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:328 trades$316.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $5.5K·4 wallets·$5.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnthony Hernandez (YES)$50.4K@ 67¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Anthony Hernandez" if Anthony Hernandez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gregory Rodrigues at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Gregory Rodrigues" if Gregory Rodrigues is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xcb70…3a122 linked markets · $8.4K gross
0xe911…3d4e2 linked markets · $810 gross
0xc785…4ef22 linked markets · $99 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY NO55m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY NO@ 89.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Anthony Hernandez@ 67.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Anthony Hernandez@ 67.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $421 → $6.3K · 4s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$33.9K
6h+$92.3K
24h+$95.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h49.1¢▼ below by 49.1pp
VWAP 7d49.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$194.0K
60¢
$18.2K
55¢
$4.6K
50¢
$11.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$4.1K
30¢
$6.2K
25¢
$20.2K
20¢
$8.9K
15¢
$19.7K
10¢
$15.5K
5¢
$8.1K
0¢
← now
$22.9K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYAnthony Hernandez (YES)$20.8K@ 67.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnthony Hernandez (YES)$29.8K@ 67.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAnthony Hernandez (YES)$50.4K@ 67.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAnthony Hernandez (YES)$10.5K@ 66.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAnthony Hernandez (YES)$10.0K@ 67.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAnthony Hernandez (YES)$10.1K@ 67.0¢
Winnnnnnning0x533c…2658
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYGregory Rodrigues (NO)$13.6K@ 34.0¢
Joe-Biden0x8b5a…00f2
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafAnthony Hernandez$111.6K
BUY VWAP 66.9¢·4 fills
ROI-ValueGregory Rodrigues$14.0K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·4 fills
Joe-BidenGregory Rodrigues$13.6K
BUY VWAP 34.0¢·1 fill
VladooosAnthony Hernandez$13.4K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·2 fills
WinnnnnnningAnthony Hernandez$10.1K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill
KosherlocksAnthony Hernandez$10.0K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.