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Todi: Marco Cecchinato vs Nick Hardt

Geopolitics→Settlement: Marco CecchinatoLiquidity: $421.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $225.9KEvent: Todi: Marco Cecchinato vs Nick Hardt
100.0¢
Marco Cecchinato payout
0.0¢
Nick Hardt payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMarco Cecchinato$27.1K@ 100¢·acc1211

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Marco Cecchinato. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-17 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Cecchinato and Nick Hardt in the Todi, originally scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Nick Hardt. This market will resolve to 'Nick Hardt' if Nick Hardt advances against Marco Cecchinato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Marco Cecchinato15d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Marco Cecchinato15d ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Marco Cecchinato@ 87.0¢15d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Marco Cecchinato@ 84.0¢15d ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.8pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marco Cecchinato; negative values favor Nick Hardt. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNick Hardt · $11.0K
6hNick Hardt · $10.0K
24hNick Hardt · $10.0K

Marco Cecchinato price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marco Cecchinato price. Nick Hardt fills are converted to the complementary Marco Cecchinato probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h84.4¢▲ above by 15.6pp
VWAP 7d84.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marco Cecchinato price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$32.0K
90¢
$12.6K
85¢
$13.5K
80¢
$19.0K
75¢
$77
70¢
$5
65¢
$3
60¢
$1.5K
55¢
$20.1K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMarco Cecchinato$27.1K@ 99.9¢
acc12110xd6d9…2c2f
🐋—15 days ago
BUYNick Hardt$17.7K@ 42.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—15 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.