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UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)

Sports→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $555.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $376.9KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:87 trades$147.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 19 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$12.1K·3 wallets·$28.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJackson McVey (NO)$53.1K@ 63¢·Sassy-Bucket

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Wes Schultz" if Wes Schultz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Jackson McVey" if Jackson McVey is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Jackson McVey@ 64.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Jackson McVey@ 64.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Jackson McVey@ 63.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 10.0pp · near-book depth $0 → $6 · 1s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$19.1K
6h−$52.2K
24h−$52.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h35.6¢▼ below by 35.6pp
VWAP 7d35.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$1.3K
40¢
$4.6K
35¢
$126.3K
30¢
$8.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$6.5K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYJackson McVey (NO)$53.1K@ 63.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJackson McVey (NO)$26.7K@ 62.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketJackson McVey$79.7K
BUY VWAP 62.7¢·2 fills
matanovikWes Schultz$19.0K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.