LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

● quote 19 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $863.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $894.5KEvent: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets95Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:313 trades$332.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$22.4K·4 wallets(1🐋)·$23.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$12.8K@ 64¢·zb8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$7.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$7.0K
6h
+$23.0K
tracked
$332.2K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$22.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +47.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 19 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 27 minutes old.
  • Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-15 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SineNooneEI3 linked markets · $40.5K gross
1111111111152 linked markets · $38.0K gross
0x9e3e…f8824 linked markets · $31.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY KT Rolster@ 53.0¢47m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Hanwha Life Esports@ 48.0¢47m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY KT Rolster@ 32.0¢47m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $20.0K$9.4K · 10s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$7.0K
6h+$23.0K
24h+$23.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h39.1¢▼ below by 39.0pp
VWAP 7d39.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$16.4K
70¢
$2.0K
65¢
$45.4K
60¢
$57.7K
55¢
$0
50¢
$7.8K
45¢
$36.9K
40¢
$24.9K
35¢
$12.0K
30¢
$13.9K
25¢
$10.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$18.0K
10¢
$2.4K
5¢
$20.1K
0¢
← now
$64.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$12.8K@ 64.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$12.8K@ 64.0¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYKT Rolster (NO)$10.3K@ 36.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
49.5¢$581.3Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)
0.1¢$142.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner
72.5¢$101.7Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$787.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$526.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
75.5¢$511.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$431.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x04b1…d224KT Rolster$23.8K
BUY VWAP 75.8¢·4 fills
111111111115KT Rolster$16.3K
BUY VWAP 35.2¢·2 fills
zb8Hanwha Life Esports$12.8K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
Zywoo123Hanwha Life Esports$12.8K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
SineNooneEIHanwha Life Esports$10.1K
BUY VWAP 66.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.