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LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner

● quote 25s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $229.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $774.0KEvent: LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
99.9¢
YES
1.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:175 trades$309.5K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 55 min agoofficial metadata 12s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKiwoom DRX (YES)$32.4K@ 100¢·0x53fb…7c30

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$20.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$20.2K
6h
−$150.8K
tracked
$309.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$10.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: -46.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 55 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-16 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 2 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 2 against Kiwoom DRX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111153 linked markets · $175.9K gross
0x48fe…b2b63 linked markets · $63.5K gross
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $62.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY HANJIN BRION@ 47.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY HANJIN BRION@ 13.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY HANJIN BRION@ 47.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $50 → $467 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$20.2K
6h−$150.8K
24h−$150.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h72.1¢▲ above by 27.8pp
VWAP 7d72.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$92.1K
90¢
$16.0K
85¢
$2.4K
80¢
$8.9K
75¢
$1.0K
70¢
$26.8K
65¢
$15.0K
60¢
$20.4K
55¢
$15.0K
50¢
$42.0K
45¢
$69.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLKiwoom DRX (YES)$20.0K@ 99.9¢0x8f3a…5ad0🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLKiwoom DRX (YES)$32.4K@ 99.9¢0x53fb…7c30🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLKiwoom DRX (YES)$14.4K@ 71.9¢0x04b1…d224🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (NO)$15.9K@ 49.6¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (NO)$14.8K@ 52.8¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYKiwoom DRX (YES)$11.2K@ 49.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (NO)$10.2K@ 51.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (NO)$20.4K@ 51.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115HANJIN BRION$70.8K
BUY VWAP 50.7¢·6 fills
zb8Kiwoom DRX$13.6K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.