Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
2 verified profitable wallets: −$56 YES-equivalent over 7d.
Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.
Data confidence 90% · priority 0
Since latest large flow: -7.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
In the upcoming Premier League game between Hull City AFC and Manchester United FC, scheduled for August 22 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Hull City AFC score 1 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Hull City AFC score less than 1 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Hull City AFC's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
YES-equivalent VWAP
Largest holders
YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.