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Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)

Sports→Settlement: Manchester City FCLiquidity: $167.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $188.4KEvent: Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets
0.0¢
AFC Bournemouth payout
100.0¢
Manchester City FC payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:38 trades$138.8K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 79%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1078 min agoofficial metadata 962 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Manchester City FC · $120.9K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$120.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYManchester City FC$80.7K@ 95¢·swisstony

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Manchester City FC. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Manchester City FC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for August 23 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Bournemouth" if AFC Bournemouth win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Manchester City FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 16h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
swisstony6 linked markets · $151.9K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $25.5K gross
UpTheBlues4 linked markets · $22.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Manchester City FC@ 95.3¢20h ago
15m STALLED +0.9pp1h INVALIDATED -5.8pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Manchester City FC@ 95.3¢20h ago
15m STALLED +0.9pp1h INVALIDATED -5.8pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: AFC Bournemouth DOWN 20.3pp · near-book depth $7 → $8 · 27s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor AFC Bournemouth; negative values favor Manchester City FC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hManchester City FC · $7.5K
6hManchester City FC · $138.7K
24hManchester City FC · $147.9K

AFC Bournemouth price VWAP

Volume-weighted AFC Bournemouth price. Manchester City FC fills are converted to the complementary AFC Bournemouth probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h4.9¢▼ below by 4.9pp
VWAP 7d4.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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AFC Bournemouth price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$248
10¢
$6.8K
5¢
$155
0¢
← now
$140.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYManchester City FC$80.7K@ 95.3¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYManchester City FC$11.0K@ 95.3¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYManchester City FC$11.5K@ 95.3¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋—about 20 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

swisstonyManchester City FC$107.5K
BUY VWAP 95.3¢·4 fills
UpTheBluesManchester City FC$10.5K
BUY VWAP 94.2¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.