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Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5

Sports→Settlement: UnderLiquidity: $225.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $194.9KEvent: Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth - More Markets
0.0¢
Over payout
100.0¢
Under payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:27 trades$67.9K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 183 min agoofficial metadata 169 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $4.2K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$38.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$20.0K@ 21¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Under. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if Manchester City FC and AFC Bournemouth combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Premier League game between Manchester City FC and AFC Bournemouth, scheduled for August 23 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Manchester City FC and AFC Bournemouth combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
swisstony6 linked markets · $154.3K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $25.5K gross
UpTheBlues4 linked markets · $22.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Under UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $105 → $68 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $1.2K
6hUnder · $18.3K
24hUnder · $18.3K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h20.4¢▼ below by 20.4pp
VWAP 7d20.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$8.6K
20¢
$51.0K
15¢
$2.3K
10¢
$1.6K
5¢
$1.3K
0¢
← now
$3.0K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$20.0K@ 21.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYUnder$13.7K@ 79.0¢0x547f…2937🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x547f…2937Under$20.3K
BUY VWAP 79.3¢·4 fills
0x2c33…0563Over$20.0K
BUY VWAP 21.0¢·1 fill
swisstonyUnder$14.4K
BUY VWAP 75.7¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.