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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $292.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $779.4KEvent: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
66.5¢
Bilibili Gaming
33.5¢
Anyones Legend
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:204 trades$272.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bilibili Gaming · $21.7K net·7 wallets·$29.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnyones Legend$42.3K@ 37¢·0x9e3e…f882

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Anyones Legend SETUP
What the tape says

Anyones Legend pressure: $32.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$32.0K
6h
+$15.6K
tracked
$272.5K

7 verified profitable wallets: Bilibili Gaming · $21.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 61

Since latest accumulation: -4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Anyones Legend or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 18:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Anyone's Legend.

•This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
vtcchampion523 linked markets · $93.6K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $64.8K gross
48binn2 linked markets · $49.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Anyones Legend@ 38.0¢18m ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Anyones Legend@ 38.0¢18m ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp
Latest book event: Anyones Legend UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $34 → $285 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bilibili Gaming; negative values favor Anyones Legend. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnyones Legend · $32.0K
6hBilibili Gaming · $15.6K
24hBilibili Gaming · $28.2K

Bilibili Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bilibili Gaming price. Anyones Legend fills are converted to the complementary Bilibili Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current66.5¢
VWAP 24h60.3¢▲ above by 6.3pp
VWAP 7d60.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bilibili Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$11.4K
65¢
← now
$88.6K
60¢
$121.8K
55¢
$3.7K
50¢
$343
45¢
$8
40¢
$39.1K
35¢
$5.9K
30¢
$1.2K
25¢
$17
20¢
$3.3K
15¢
$1.4K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAnyones Legend$10.9K@ 38.0¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—21 minutes ago
BUYAnyones Legend$42.3K@ 37.0¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$20.0K@ 40.7¢
pmesport0xef4b…2577
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$11.7K@ 69.4¢0xb70c…34ca🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$963.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
27.5¢$2.5Mpriority82Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
0.1¢$2.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
50.5¢$1.7Mpriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢$996.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$891.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
0.1¢$836.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x9e3e…f882Anyones Legend$55.2K
BUY VWAP 37.2¢·4 fills
pmesportBilibili Gaming$29.0K
BUY VWAP 40.8¢·6 fills
vtcchampion52Anyones Legend$16.2K
BUY VWAP 33.2¢·5 fills
0xb70c…34caBilibili Gaming$11.7K
BUY VWAP 69.4¢·1 fill
yishiwuchengBilibili Gaming$11.6K
BUY VWAP 63.5¢·3 fills
SkyfkerBilibili Gaming$10.2K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.