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Bengals vs. Texans

● quote 19s ago
Sports→Closes: 3 daysLiquidity: $570.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $102.4KEvent: Bengals vs. Texans
41.5¢
Bengals
58.5¢
Texans
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection36Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$42.7K trackedsource coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 56 min agoofficial metadata 37s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBengals$8.2K@ 41¢·monkeymashingkeyboard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Bengals pressure: $15.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$15.3K
6h
+$37.7K
tracked
$42.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Bengals · $20.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 56 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Bengals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals".

•If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Bengals@ 42.0¢43m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bengals; negative values favor Texans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBengals · $15.3K
6hBengals · $37.7K
24hBengals · $32.7K

Bengals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bengals price. Texans fills are converted to the complementary Bengals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h41.4¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d41.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bengals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$48.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HerdoniaBengals$21.7K
BUY VWAP 41.7¢·5 fills
monkeymashingkeyboardBengals$14.8K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.