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Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advance

● quote 47s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $204.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $100.8KEvent: Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva - More Markets
42.5¢
Sabah FK
57.5¢
MH Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection46Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$43.0K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sabah FK · $4.2K net·2 wallets·$8.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMH Hapoel Beer Sheva$19.6K@ 58¢·N34

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

MH Hapoel Beer Sheva pressure: $19.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.6K
6h
−$8.1K
tracked
$43.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Sabah FK · $4.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from MH Hapoel Beer Sheva or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-25 16:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

•In the UEFA Champions League qualifying tie between Sabah FK and MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva, with the deciding leg scheduled for August 25 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sabah FK" if Sabah FK is the team that officially advances from this two-legged tie, based on aggregate score across both legs, to the next stage of the UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva" if MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva is the team that officially advances from this two-legged tie to the next stage of the UEFA Champions League. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If either leg is postponed, this market will remain open until the tie has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the tie is canceled entirely and no team advances, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Read full resolution rules

In the UEFA Champions League qualifying tie between Sabah FK and MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva, with the deciding leg scheduled for August 25 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sabah FK" if Sabah FK is the team that officially advances from this two-legged tie, based on aggregate score across both legs, to the next stage of the UEFA Champions League. This market will resolve to "MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva" if MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva is the team that officially advances from this two-legged tie to the next stage of the UEFA Champions League. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If either leg is postponed, this market will remain open until the tie has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the tie is canceled entirely and no team advances, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY MH Hapoel Beer Sheva@ 58.0¢12m ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sabah FK; negative values favor MH Hapoel Beer Sheva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMH Hapoel Beer Sheva · $19.6K
6hMH Hapoel Beer Sheva · $8.1K
24hMH Hapoel Beer Sheva · $6.2K

Sabah FK price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sabah FK price. MH Hapoel Beer Sheva fills are converted to the complementary Sabah FK probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current42.5¢
VWAP 24h43.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d43.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sabah FK price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$10.0K
40¢
← now
$33.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMH Hapoel Beer Sheva$19.6K@ 58.0¢
N340xfd67…ef90
🐋—18 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

N34MH Hapoel Beer Sheva$19.6K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.