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LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 3 Winner

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $519.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $852.5KEvent: LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:270 trades$385.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $6.0K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$77.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$35.5K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$73
6h
−$70.2K
tracked
$385.7K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$6.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +27.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 27.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-17 15:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal match between T1 and DN SOOPers in the KeSPA Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 3 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 3 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc69b…20765 linked markets · $147.3K gross
5e46h4 linked markets · $131.3K gross
TAIWANNUMBERONE2 linked markets · $99.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY DN SOOPers54m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY DN SOOPers54m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY DN SOOPers54m ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY DN SOOPers@ 73.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp
Latest book event: YES DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $2 → $315 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$73
6h−$70.2K
24h−$70.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h15.0¢▼ below by 15.0pp
VWAP 7d15.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$5.7K
40¢
$9.5K
35¢
$2.4K
30¢
$120.9K
25¢
$14.8K
20¢
$7.7K
15¢
$2.6K
10¢
$26.7K
5¢
$17.3K
0¢
← now
$180.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$13.0K@ 99.9¢0xcf60…a6f5🐋—12 minutes ago
SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$11.8K@ 99.9¢
crypto-ericwu20xd967…1409
🐋—28 minutes ago
SELLDN SOOPers (NO)$35.5K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYDN SOOPers (NO)$30.6K@ 99.9¢0x5e8e…8212🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYDN SOOPers (NO)$14.1K@ 99.7¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYDN SOOPers (NO)$14.4K@ 99.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYDN SOOPers (NO)$20.4K@ 68.0¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYT1 (YES)$13.4K@ 31.8¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

5e46hDN SOOPers$34.6K
BUY VWAP 97.3¢·3 fills
0x5e8e…8212DN SOOPers$30.6K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
Zywoo123DN SOOPers$20.4K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill
Lakersfan111T1$16.5K
BUY VWAP 32.1¢·2 fills
Sunshine.SmileDN SOOPers$16.1K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.