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Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)

Sports→Settlement: Las Vegas AcesLiquidity: $58.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $87.7KEvent: Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces
100.0¢
Las Vegas Aces payout
0.0¢
Washington Mystics payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLas Vegas Aces$14.0K@ 100¢·winwin518168

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Las Vegas Aces. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-14 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces" if the Las Vegas Aces win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Mystics".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 13 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces" if the Las Vegas Aces win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Las Vegas Aces; negative values favor Washington Mystics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWashington Mystics · $14.0K
6hWashington Mystics · $15.6K
24hWashington Mystics · $12.8K

Las Vegas Aces price VWAP

Volume-weighted Las Vegas Aces price. Washington Mystics fills are converted to the complementary Las Vegas Aces probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h70.1¢▲ above by 29.9pp
VWAP 7d70.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Las Vegas Aces price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.0K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$18.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLas Vegas Aces$14.0K@ 99.9¢
winwin5181680x6820…1c19
🐋—10 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.