PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $351.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $5.0KEvent: Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
38.5¢
YES
61.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$28.0K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKansas City Royals (NO)$11.1K@ 59¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$3
6h
−$3.7K
tracked
$28.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$11.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 54 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-26 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for August 19 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$3
6h−$3.7K
24h−$22.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h40.5¢▼ below by 2.0pp
VWAP 7d40.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$21.3K
35¢
← now
$6.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYKansas City Royals (NO)$11.1K@ 59.1¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
28.5¢$1.4Mpriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
100.0¢$793.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins
50.5¢$640.8Kpriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
74.5¢$582.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
46.8¢$455.6Kpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$375.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Kansas City Royals$11.1K
BUY VWAP 59.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.