Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.
Data confidence 58% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
•If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve to the act who finishes as the runner-up of America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
YES price VWAP
Largest holders
YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.