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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $613.8KEvent: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢
ThunderTalk Gaming
100.0¢
LGD Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets86Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:257 trades$296.0K trackedsource coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:ThunderTalk Gaming · $19.8K net·7 wallets·$22.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLGD Gaming$12.9K@ 100¢·NrNrfNrf2

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

LGD Gaming pressure: $21.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$21.9K
6h
−$21.8K
tracked
$296.0K

7 verified profitable wallets: ThunderTalk Gaming · $19.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 20.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LGD Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against LGD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
NrNrfNrf22 linked markets · $75.2K gross
geiyecapixie2 linked markets · $31.7K gross
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl63 linked markets · $30.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY LGD Gaming@ 80.0¢18m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY ThunderTalk Gaming21m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY ThunderTalk Gaming@ 31.0¢42m ago
15m INVALIDATED -16.0pp
Latest book event: ThunderTalk Gaming UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $44 → $94 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor ThunderTalk Gaming; negative values favor LGD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLGD Gaming · $21.9K
6hLGD Gaming · $21.8K
24hLGD Gaming · $21.8K

ThunderTalk Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted ThunderTalk Gaming price. LGD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary ThunderTalk Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h24.5¢▼ below by 24.4pp
VWAP 7d24.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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ThunderTalk Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$76
45¢
$62.4K
40¢
$30.9K
35¢
$9.8K
30¢
$26.6K
25¢
$8.7K
20¢
$21.8K
15¢
$38.2K
10¢
$21.4K
5¢
$756
0¢
← now
$75.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLGD Gaming$12.9K@ 99.9¢
NrNrfNrf20xf70f…3c97
🐋—10 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115ThunderTalk Gaming$26.5K
BUY VWAP 46.6¢·6 fills
0xf030…12e2LGD Gaming$17.0K
BUY VWAP 70.7¢·11 fills
JaJa888LGD Gaming$12.9K
BUY VWAP 77.9¢·4 fills
geiyecapixieLGD Gaming$10.8K
BUY VWAP 74.6¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.