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LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

● quote 20s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $460.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $988.5KEvent: LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢
EDward Gaming
100.0¢
JD Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:248 trades$397.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:EDward Gaming · $18.0K net·13 wallets·$69.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJD Gaming$38.0K@ 100¢·JaJa888

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

EDward Gaming pressure: $40.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$40.1K
6h
−$33.9K
tracked
$397.0K

13 verified profitable wallets: EDward Gaming · $18.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +1.2pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from EDward Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 15:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against JD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against EDward Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
JaJa8883 linked markets · $72.9K gross
NrNrfNrf22 linked markets · $42.2K gross
0xf64e…a1dd3 linked markets · $41.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY JD Gaming@ 98.8¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY JD Gaming3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY JD Gaming@ 76.0¢4h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h CONFIRMED +7.0pp
Latest book event: JD Gaming UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $43.6K → $40.6K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor EDward Gaming; negative values favor JD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEDward Gaming · $40.1K
6hJD Gaming · $33.9K
24hJD Gaming · $31.1K

EDward Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted EDward Gaming price. JD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary EDward Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h14.6¢▼ below by 14.5pp
VWAP 7d14.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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EDward Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.9K
40¢
$5.6K
35¢
$35.0K
30¢
$57.2K
25¢
$25.7K
20¢
$37.9K
15¢
$17.5K
10¢
$31.2K
5¢
$23.5K
0¢
← now
$161.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJD Gaming$20.0K@ 99.9¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—44 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$38.0K@ 99.9¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJD Gaming$13.4K@ 99.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJD Gaming$12.5K@ 90.0¢
NrNrfNrf20xf70f…3c97
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYJD Gaming$19.0K@ 78.8¢0xb70c…34ca🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

JaJa888JD Gaming$41.4K
BUY VWAP 97.7¢·3 fills
0xf64e…a1ddJD Gaming$19.4K
BUY VWAP 77.1¢·7 fills
hd777JD Gaming$19.2K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·5 fills
0xb70c…34caJD Gaming$19.0K
BUY VWAP 78.8¢·1 fill
NrNrfNrf2JD Gaming$16.5K
BUY VWAP 86.4¢·2 fills
0x174f…a4acJD Gaming$13.9K
BUY VWAP 78.1¢·10 fills
0xf030…12e2JD Gaming$10.1K
BUY VWAP 67.6¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.