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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $432.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $693.2KEvent: LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢
BNK FEARX
0.1¢
Nongshim Red Force
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets35Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:170 trades$313.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 10s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:BNK FEARX · $16.8K net·12 wallets·$47.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBNK FEARX$11.3K@ 100¢·254321758

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$40.0K
tracked
$313.7K

12 verified profitable wallets: BNK FEARX · $16.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +32.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 76 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 32.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 16:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force.

•This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against BNK FEARX.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217583 linked markets · $206.8K gross
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl63 linked markets · $61.5K gross
solo888883 linked markets · $49.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY BNK FEARX2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY BNK FEARX@ 68.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: BNK FEARX DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $143 → $116 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor BNK FEARX; negative values favor Nongshim Red Force. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBNK FEARX · $0
6hNongshim Red Force · $40.0K
24hNongshim Red Force · $38.5K

BNK FEARX price VWAP

Volume-weighted BNK FEARX price. Nongshim Red Force fills are converted to the complementary BNK FEARX probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h74.9¢▲ above by 25.1pp
VWAP 7d74.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

BNK FEARX price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$124.6K
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$2.3K
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.6K
70¢
$10.8K
65¢
$43.0K
60¢
$37.2K
55¢
$11.0K
50¢
$22.4K
45¢
$58.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBNK FEARX$11.3K@ 99.9¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaNongshim Red Force$15.7K
BUY VWAP 47.8¢·5 fills
SineNooneEIBNK FEARX$12.2K
BUY VWAP 48.6¢·2 fills
254321758BNK FEARX$11.5K
BUY VWAP 96.8¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.