LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner

● quote 33 min ago
SportsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $992.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $784.3KEvent: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets5Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:252 trades$360.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 46 min agoofficial metadata 33 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $5.6K·2 wallets(2🐋)·$74.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHANJIN BRION (YES)$40.0K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$33.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$33.0K
6h
−$20.4K
tracked
$360.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$5.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 33 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 46 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 33 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-19 17:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111152 linked markets · $37.9K gross
zb82 linked markets · $36.8K gross
0x1660…55982 linked markets · $18.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY YES@ 96.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY HANJIN BRION2h ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY HANJIN BRION@ 66.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY HANJIN BRION2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: YES UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $3.8K$113 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$33.0K
6h$20.4K
24h$20.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h76.9¢▲ above by 23.0pp
VWAP 7d76.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$131.8K
90¢
$3.4K
85¢
$5.1K
80¢
$23.3K
75¢
$16.4K
70¢
$3.4K
65¢
$7.4K
60¢
$6.3K
55¢
$117.0K
50¢
$16.4K
45¢
$5.8K
40¢
$8.5K
35¢
$1.8K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLHANJIN BRION (YES)$40.0K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$20.8K@ 98.4¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$13.5K@ 58.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$18.7K@ 57.0¢0xf23c…9f81🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYDN SOOPers (NO)$20.8K@ 43.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$14.0K@ 56.9¢0xf23c…9f81🐋about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
84.5¢$495.1Kpriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
70.0¢$13.8Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$709.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$702.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
0.1¢$647.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
87.5¢$566.1Kpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
100.0¢$477.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
71.5¢$459.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf23c…9f81HANJIN BRION$32.7K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·2 fills
111111111115DN SOOPers$26.6K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·3 fills
5e46hHANJIN BRION$20.8K
BUY VWAP 98.4¢·1 fill
zb8HANJIN BRION$13.5K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
0x01e6…e7e0HANJIN BRION$11.9K
BUY VWAP 73.6¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.