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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner

● quote 38 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $663.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $537.1KEvent: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets25Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:145 trades$210.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 54 min agoofficial metadata 41 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$17.8K·2 wallets(2🐋)·$48.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$26.6K@ 100¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$40.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$40.8K
6h
+$76.3K
tracked
$210.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$17.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: +26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 38 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 54 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 41 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-19 17:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 2 against DN SOOPers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 2 against HANJIN BRION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h3 linked markets · $164.3K gross
1111111111152 linked markets · $37.9K gross
zb82 linked markets · $36.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY HANJIN BRION1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY HANJIN BRION1h ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY HANJIN BRION@ 74.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY HANJIN BRION@ 68.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +28.0pp
Latest book event: YES UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $421 → $2.4K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$40.8K
6h+$76.3K
24h+$76.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h74.7¢▲ above by 25.3pp
VWAP 7d74.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$79.6K
90¢
$2.5K
85¢
$5.4K
80¢
$6.3K
75¢
$7
70¢
$14.0K
65¢
$14.6K
60¢
$0
55¢
$4.9K
50¢
$85.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLHANJIN BRION (YES)$15.1K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$26.6K@ 99.9¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$23.2K@ 54.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaHANJIN BRION$26.6K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
zb8HANJIN BRION$23.2K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
111111111115DN SOOPers$11.3K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.