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LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

● quote 41 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:421 trades$505.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 47 min agoofficial metadata 43 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$60.4K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$61.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHanwha Life Esports (NO)$43.8K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$124.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$124.5K
6h
+$238.8K
tracked
$505.1K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$60.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest deadline positioning: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 41 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 47 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 43 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-20 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and Hanwha Life Esports in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217582 linked markets · $107.4K gross
crypto-ericwu22 linked markets · $81.5K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria2 linked markets · $68.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Hanwha Life Esports@ 100.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Dplus KIA@ 80.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Dplus KIA2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Hanwha Life Esports@ 41.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -27.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 12.5pp · near-book depth $4.2K → $248 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$124.5K
6h+$238.8K
24h+$238.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h37.1¢▼ below by 37.0pp
VWAP 7d37.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$6.6K
90¢
$16.6K
85¢
$3.1K
80¢
$6.5K
75¢
$3.5K
70¢
$4.0K
65¢
$22.3K
60¢
$23.7K
55¢
$37.6K
50¢
$153.7K
45¢
$28.9K
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$7.1K
15¢
$19.4K
10¢
$2.2K
5¢
$1.4K
0¢
← now
$164.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLHanwha Life Esports (NO)$20.0K@ 99.9¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLHanwha Life Esports (NO)$20.0K@ 99.9¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLHanwha Life Esports (NO)$43.8K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (NO)$19.8K@ 98.7¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLHanwha Life Esports (NO)$11.9K@ 83.0¢0xb589…91e3🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$20.0K@ 53.0¢0x0b89…a4cd🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (NO)$15.6K@ 47.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

254321758Hanwha Life Esports$27.9K
BUY VWAP 90.3¢·7 fills
111111111115Hanwha Life Esports$24.2K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·3 fills
0x0b89…a4cdDplus KIA$23.0K
BUY VWAP 52.2¢·3 fills
0xc69b…2076Dplus KIA$13.8K
BUY VWAP 54.5¢·9 fills
0x9e3e…f882Dplus KIA$13.3K
BUY VWAP 50.5¢·6 fills
0x1fb8…5a88Dplus KIA$13.2K
BUY VWAP 54.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.