Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner

● quote 5 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $943.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.4MEvent: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection34Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets69Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:460 trades$969.1K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$32.5K·4 wallets(1🐋)·$46.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$45.0K@ 69¢·0xf594…e115

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$331.3K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$331.3K
6h
+$487.9K
tracked
$969.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$32.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: -77.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-20 11:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between TEAM VISION and BoomBoys in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 2 against BoomBoys. This market will resolve to "BoomBoys" if BoomBoys win Game 2 against TEAM VISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111153 linked markets · $312.9K gross
0xe16d…5e304 linked markets · $136.8K gross
0x9100…7ade3 linked markets · $87.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY BoomBoys1h ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY TEAM VISION@ 78.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -41.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY BoomBoys@ 23.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +38.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY TEAM VISION1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: YES DOWN 8.5pp · near-book depth $87$392 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$331.3K
6h+$487.9K
24h+$499.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h34.8¢▼ below by 34.7pp
VWAP 7d35.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$29.1K
85¢
$37.5K
80¢
$11.4K
75¢
$8.5K
70¢
$22.6K
65¢
$277.4K
60¢
$18.5K
55¢
$4.9K
50¢
$2.6K
45¢
$4.5K
40¢
$46.3K
35¢
$32.9K
30¢
$3.0K
25¢
$4.9K
20¢
$23.3K
15¢
$40.4K
10¢
$5.9K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$355.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$25.4K@ 99.9¢0x2929…1dd0🐋34 minutes ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$17.1K@ 99.9¢0x2931…7b81🐋43 minutes ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$11.6K@ 99.9¢0x6f04…1fb0🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$27.2K@ 99.9¢0x1896…a7d6🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$12.3K@ 99.9¢0x8002…8b6c🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$14.0K@ 99.9¢0xe760…f2f9🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$15.0K@ 99.9¢0x7045…81b5🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$10.9K@ 99.9¢0xed44…4f76🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$11.2K@ 99.9¢0x4572…83ff🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$13.4K@ 99.9¢0xdc3f…5e0d🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$11.6K@ 99.9¢0xdc83…08f4🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$13.1K@ 99.9¢0x53b2…9f96🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLBoomBoys (NO)$19.6K@ 99.9¢
gxxyy0x4aec…4ce9
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$10.6K@ 18.9¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$12.3K@ 93.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$33.0K@ 66.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYBoomBoys (NO)$10.9K@ 35.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$10.0K@ 65.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$45.0K@ 69.0¢0xf594…e115🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYBoomBoys (NO)$10.0K@ 33.0¢0x1896…a7d6🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYTEAM VISION (YES)$10.0K@ 67.1¢0xe16d…5e30🐋about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf594…e115TEAM VISION$49.3K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·3 fills
111111111115TEAM VISION$41.2K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·2 fills
0xe16d…5e30TEAM VISION$35.0K
BUY VWAP 64.3¢·7 fills
zb8TEAM VISION$28.9K
BUY VWAP 37.1¢·4 fills
0x9100…7adeTEAM VISION$20.6K
BUY VWAP 89.8¢·6 fills
CORGI8BoomBoys$11.9K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·2 fills
0x1896…a7d6BoomBoys$10.0K
BUY VWAP 33.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.