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LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

● quote 15s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $625.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly61Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets92Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:265 trades$409.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $76.2K·4 wallets(2🐋)·$82.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1 (NO)$32.9K@ 100¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$7.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$7.4K
6h
−$154.4K
tracked
$409.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: −$76.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest deadline positioning: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-21 17:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between KT Rolster and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 2 against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 2 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111153 linked markets · $260.8K gross
2543217583 linked markets · $97.9K gross
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $58.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY T1@ 100.0¢32m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY T1@ 62.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY T1@ 63.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY KT Rolster@ 39.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 4.2pp · near-book depth $393 → $12.4K · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$7.4K
6h−$154.4K
24h−$147.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h22.8¢▼ below by 22.7pp
VWAP 7d22.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$6.3K
55¢
$10.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$130.3K
30¢
$64.2K
25¢
$21.9K
20¢
$26.8K
15¢
$9.7K
10¢
$7.2K
5¢
$2.1K
0¢
← now
$130.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYT1 (NO)$32.9K@ 99.9¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYT1 (NO)$29.9K@ 99.8¢0x204e…8d08🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYT1 (NO)$20.1K@ 99.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYT1 (NO)$13.0K@ 68.6¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYT1 (NO)$30.6K@ 64.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYT1 (NO)$28.3K@ 63.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢$1.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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100.0¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)
0.1¢$124.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
25.5¢$1.2Mpriority39Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
21.5¢$1.1Mpriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
100.0¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$956.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563T1$43.2K
BUY VWAP 66.3¢·5 fills
254321758T1$40.0K
BUY VWAP 86.7¢·3 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaT1$32.9K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
111111111115T1$30.6K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
0x204e…8d08T1$29.9K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49KT Rolster$17.0K
BUY VWAP 37.5¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.