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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:204 trades$1.3M tracked4% 🐋source coverage 85%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $529.3K·3 wallets(2🐋)·$1.0M gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLegacy (YES)$601.1K@ 100¢·Djdjdjekekek

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Legacy and Team Falcons in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05634 linked markets · $382.6K gross
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $183.8K gross
1111111111152 linked markets · $93.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Legacy@ 55.0¢26m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Team Falcons@ 72.0¢56m ago
15m INVALIDATED -59.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Legacy@ 36.0¢56m ago
15m CONFIRMED +50.0pp
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Legacy@ 37.0¢56m ago
15m CONFIRMED +49.0pp
Latest book event: YES UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $4.2K → $3.6K · 1s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$634.1K
6h−$569.6K
24h−$569.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h74.2¢▲ above by 25.8pp
VWAP 7d74.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$633.7K
90¢
$2.4K
85¢
$14.1K
80¢
$1.3K
75¢
$1.8K
70¢
$17.4K
65¢
$8.2K
60¢
$19.1K
55¢
$236.6K
50¢
$27.1K
45¢
$7.5K
40¢
$211.6K
35¢
$120.3K
30¢
$3.2K
25¢
$1.0K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLLegacy (YES)$601.1K@ 99.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—35 minutes ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$23.4K@ 58.5¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$11.6K@ 40.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$180.0K@ 58.7¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$16.6K@ 41.5¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$165.2K@ 60.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$52.1K@ 39.1¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$17.7K@ 61.0¢0x2418…66c8🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$18.4K@ 38.6¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekLegacy$238.9K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·6 fills
0x2c33…0563Team Falcons$176.8K
BUY VWAP 58.1¢·2 fills
111111111115Legacy$68.7K
BUY VWAP 39.7¢·2 fills
0x2418…66c8Team Falcons$22.3K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills
0x6e2c…787cLegacy$19.0K
BUY VWAP 74.8¢·12 fills
0x1610…ae49Team Falcons$11.3K
BUY VWAP 26.9¢·4 fills
0x6e2c…787cTeam Falcons$10.9K
BUY VWAP 41.6¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.