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Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies

Sports→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $387.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $185.8KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:80 trades$70.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 183 min agoofficial metadata 150 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$33.8K·4 wallets(1🐋)·$43.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians (YES)$22.6K@ 49¢·xifutloong3

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-29 00:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for August 21 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $14.2K gross
0x4f8c…f8bd2 linked markets · $300 gross
0xe401…7b882 linked markets · $266 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Cleveland Guardians5h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 58.0¢5h ago
15m CONFIRMED +23.0pp1h CONFIRMED +41.3pp
Latest book event: YES UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $134 → $8 · 1s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$1.1K
6h+$59.1K
24h+$59.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h52.4¢▲ above by 47.6pp
VWAP 7d52.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.0K
90¢
$95
85¢
$252
80¢
$1.6K
75¢
$0
70¢
$7
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$11.0K
50¢
$554
45¢
$55.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians (YES)$22.6K@ 49.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians (YES)$10.9K@ 58.0¢
alaskabaked0xaa77…15a5
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Cleveland Guardians$34.9K
BUY VWAP 48.9¢·6 fills
alaskabakedCleveland Guardians$10.9K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.