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Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $529.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $305.0KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:65 trades$135.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 128 min agoofficial metadata 95 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $47.0K·5 wallets(1🐋)·$74.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks (NO)$31.8K@ 58¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-29 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 21 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $41.1K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $39.3K gross
swisstony2 linked markets · $410 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 59.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 58.0¢11h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$1.6K
6h−$53.9K
24h−$96.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h32.0¢▼ below by 31.9pp
VWAP 7d32.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$89.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$5.3K
25¢
$2.9K
20¢
$48
15¢
$115
10¢
$25.9K
5¢
$8.6K
0¢
← now
$3.3K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYArizona Diamondbacks (NO)$31.8K@ 58.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks (NO)$30.0K@ 58.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Arizona Diamondbacks$35.2K
BUY VWAP 58.5¢·3 fills
0x3dfb…abafArizona Diamondbacks$31.8K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
curieArizona Diamondbacks$21.5K
BUY VWAP 90.6¢·5 fills
hcs0xCincinnati Reds$13.6K
BUY VWAP 36.4¢·2 fills
1winstreak1Arizona Diamondbacks$12.0K
BUY VWAP 89.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.